Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 1.842074e-03 0.002039 0.002237 0.002451 0.002675 0.002904 0.003152
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.558383e-03 0.001843 0.002139 0.002469 0.002824 0.003193 0.003603
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.376720e-03 0.001733 0.002114 0.002550 0.003028 0.003535 0.004108
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.220061e-03 0.001633 0.002089 0.002621 0.003217 0.003858 0.004593
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.012612e-03 0.001457 0.001964 0.002570 0.003263 0.004020 0.004900
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.532735e-04 0.001322 0.001874 0.002550 0.003336 0.004207 0.005231
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.493178e-04 0.001244 0.001843 0.002592 0.003476 0.004467 0.005642
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.342549e-04 0.001140 0.001773 0.002581 0.003550 0.004648 0.005962
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.600511e-04 0.001082 0.001754 0.002626 0.003687 0.004900 0.006361
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.979677e-04 0.001034 0.001742 0.002678 0.003829 0.005156 0.006765
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.485944e-04 0.000998 0.001744 0.002744 0.003986 0.005427 0.007185
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.627800e-04 0.000899 0.001654 0.002690 0.003993 0.005522 0.007398
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.745311e-04 0.000797 0.001575 0.002671 0.004076 0.005742 0.007806
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.068966e-04 0.000717 0.001520 0.002683 0.004198 0.006015 0.008283
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.649836e-04 0.000675 0.001516 0.002762 0.004407 0.006396 0.008892
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.275244e-04 0.000631 0.001507 0.002833 0.004606 0.006767 0.009494
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.636577e-05 0.000537 0.001410 0.002778 0.004640 0.006935 0.009854
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.308603e-05 0.000466 0.001341 0.002755 0.004713 0.007149 0.010269
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.538462e-05 0.000425 0.001318 0.002798 0.004870 0.007467 0.010810
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.963392e-06 0.000370 0.001261 0.002785 0.004951 0.007690 0.011235
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.448852e-06 0.000339 0.001246 0.002832 0.005112 0.008012 0.011779
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 5.012585e-07 0.000313 0.001236 0.002886 0.005281 0.008343 0.012336
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000293 0.001236 0.002954 0.005468 0.008698 0.012922